How Comets Move
Most comets travel on long, oval paths called ellipses that bring them near the Sun and then swing them back out into deep space. [See Figure 176 on page 316.] The point nearest the Sun on an elliptical orbit is called its perihelion. At perihelion, a comet’s speed is greatest. After a comet passes perihelion and begins moving away from the Sun, its velocity steadily decreases until it reaches its farthest point from the Sun—called its aphelion. (This is similar to the way a ball thrown up into the air slows down until it reaches its highest point.) Then, the comet begins falling back toward the Sun, gaining speed until it again reaches perihelion.
Figure 171: A Shot Fired Around the World. Imagine standing on a tall mountain rising above the atmosphere. You fire a bullet horizontally. If its speed is just right, and very fast, it will “fall” at the same rate the spherical Earth curves away under the bullet. The bullet would have a circular orbit (blue) around Earth. Simply stated, the bullet would “fall” around the Earth continually. Isaac Newton first suggested this surprising possibility in 1687. It wasn’t until 1957 that the former Soviet Union demonstrated this with a satellite called Sputnik I.
If the bullet were launched more slowly, it would eventually hit the Earth. If the bullet traveled faster, it would be in an oval or elliptical orbit (red).22 With enough additional speed, the orbit would not “loop around” and close on itself. It would be an “open” orbit; the bullet would never return. The green orbit, called a parabolic orbit, is the boundary between open and closed orbits. With any greater launch velocity, the bullet would travel in a hyperbolic orbit ; with any less, it would be in an elliptical orbit. These orbits will be discussed in more detail later. Understanding them will help us discover how comets came to be.
Short-Period Comets. Of the 1,139 known comets, that are in elliptical orbits, 737 orbit the Sun in less than 100 years. They are called short-period comets, because the time for each to orbit the Sun once, called the period, is short—less than 100 years.20 Short-period comets usually travel near Earth’s orbital plane, called the ecliptic. Almost all (711) are prograde; that is, they orbit the Sun in the same direction as Earth. Surprisingly, about 60% of all short-period comets have aphelions near some point on Jupiter’s orbit.21 They are called Jupiter’s family. [See Figure 172.]
To understand better what is meant by “Jupiter’s family,” look briefly at Figure 177 on page 318. While comets A, B, and C orbit the Sun, only A and B are in Jupiter’s family, because their farthest points from the Sun, their aphelions, are near Jupiter’s orbit. How Jupiter collected its large family of comets presents major problems for most theories for comet origins, because comets falling toward the Sun from the outer solar system would be traveling too fast as they zip inside Jupiter’s orbit. To slow them down, so they could join Jupiter’s family, would require such great deceleration forces that the comets would have to pass very near planets. But those near passes could easily, produce collisions, tear comets apart, or eject them from the solar system.23
Figure 172: What Is Jupiter’s Family? About 60% of all short-period comets have aphelions 4–6 AU from the Sun. (A comet’s aphelion is its farthest point from the Sun.) Because Jupiter travels in a nearly circular orbit that lies near the center of that range (5.2 AU from the Sun), those comets are called Jupiter’s family. (Comets in Jupiter’s family do not travel with Jupiter; those comets and Jupiter have only one orbital characteristic in common—aphelion distance.) Is Saturn, which lies 9.5 AU from the Sun, collecting a family? See the “aphelion scale” directly above each planet.
Why should comets cluster into families defined by aphelions? Why is Jupiter’s family so large? No doubt, Jupiter’s enormous mass has something to do with it. Notice how large Jupiter is compared to other planets and how far each is from the Sun. (In this figure, diameters of the Sun and planets are magnified relative to the aphelion scale.)
Therefore, comets in Jupiter’s family have a life expectancy of only about 12,000 years.24 This presents three possibilities: (1) Jupiter’s family formed less than about 12,000 years ago, (2) the family is resupplied rapidly by unknown processes, or (3) the family had many more comets prior to about 12,000 years ago—perhaps thousands of times as many. Options (2) and (3) present a terrible collection problem. In other words, too many comets cluster in Jupiter’s family, precisely where few should gather or survive for much longer than about 12,000 years. Why?
Long-Period Comets. Of the 298 comets with periods exceeding 700 years, about half (53%) are prograde, while the rest (47%) are retrograde, orbiting the Sun “backwards”—in a direction opposite that of the Earth. Because no planets have retrograde orbits, we must ask why so many long-period comets are retrograde, while few short-period comets are.
Intermediate-Period Comets. Only 104 comets have orbital periods between 100 and 700 years. So, we have two completely different populations of comets—short-period and long-period—plus a few in between.
Energy. A comet falling in its orbit toward the Sun exchanges “height above” the Sun for additional speed—just as a ball dropped from a tall building loses elevation but gains speed. Moving away from the Sun, the exchange reverses. A comet’s energy has two parts: potential energy, which increases with the comet’s distance from the Sun, and kinetic energy, which increases with speed. Kinetic energy is converted to potential energy as the comet moves away from the Sun. The beauty of these exchanges is that the sum of the two energies never changes if the comet is influenced only by the Sun; the total energy is conserved (preserved).
However, if a comet orbiting the Sun passes near a planet, energy is transferred between them. What one gains, the other loses; the energy of the comet-planet pair is conserved. A comet falling in the general direction of a planet gains speed, and therefore, energy; moving away from a planet, it loses speed and energy. We say that the planet’s gravity perturbs (or alters) the comet’s orbit. If the comet gains energy, the long axis of its elliptical orbit lengthens. The closer the encounter
Figure 173: An Early Lesson in Conservation of Energy. At the top of his swing, my grandson, Preston, has a minimum of kinetic energy (energy of motion) but a maximum of potential energy (energy of height). As he approaches the bottom of his swing, where he moves the fastest, he gains kinetic energy but loses an equal amount of potential energy. In between, he has some of both.
Eventually, friction converts both forms of energy into heat energy, slowing the swing, and making Preston unhappy. Comets also steadily exchange kinetic and potential energy, but, in the vacuum of space, do so with essentially no frictional loss.
Figure 174
: Comet Energy. The tall red bar represents 465 comets27 with extremely high energy—comets that traveled far from the Sun, such as 1,000 AU, 10,000 AU, or 100,000 AU. These comets, traveling on long, narrow ellipses that are almost parabolas, are called near-parabolic comets. In 1950, Jan Hendrik Oort mistakenly thought the comets represented by the tall red bar marked the distance from the Sun where all comets originate—somewhere between 1,000 –100,000 AU. Because they are falling toward the Sun from all directions, he said they are coming from a spherical shell surrounding the solar system. Those who believe Oort, usually substitute 50,000 AU for this broad 1,000 –100,000 AU (nearly infinite) range and say that all comets are coming from an imaginary region called the “Oort cloud.” Actually, near-parabolic comets that we now see falling back have similar energies, because the dense concentration of material that gravitationally merged to become comets was launched by the fountains of the great deep at the same time and place—from the Earth at the beginning of the global flood. Their energies are also similar because each particle in the fountains received similar amounts of specific energy (energy per unit mass) for the same reason water droplets shot from a fire hose have similar kinetic energy.
The comets represented by the red bar appear to falling from so far away, because the accelerating effect of the Kuiper Belt 28 was naturally unknown before the Kuiper Belt was discovered. Therefore, it appeared that the comets gained their speed by falling toward the Sun from farther out than was truly the case.
No one has detected the Oort cloud with a telescope or any other sensing device.29 Mathematical errors led to Oort’s belief that a cloud of cometary material, called the Oort cloud, surrounds the solar system.30
Comets orbiting the Sun gain or lose energy by interacting gravitationally with planets. The green line represents parabolic orbits, the boundary separating elliptical orbits from hyperbolic orbits (closed orbits from open orbits). If a comet gains enough energy to nudge it to the right of the green line, it will be expelled from the solar system forever. This happened with the few outgoing hyperbolic comets represented by the short, black bar. Incoming hyperbolic comets have never been seen 31—a very important point. About half of all comets will lose energy with each orbit, so their orbits shorten, making collisions with the planets or the Sun more likely and vaporization from the Sun’s heat more rapid. So, with each shift to the left (loss of energy), a comet’s chance of survival drops. Few long-period comets could survive the many gravity perturbations needed to make them short-period comets.32 If planetary perturbations acted on a steady supply of near-parabolic comets for millions of years, the number of comets in each interval should correspond to the shape of the yellow area.33 The small number of actual comets in that area (shown by the blue bars) indicates how few near-parabolic comets have made multiple trips into the inner solar system. Figure 174 shows that near-parabolic comets have not been orbiting the Sun for millions of years, and there is no Oort cloud.
If the 465 near-parabolic comets represented by the tall red bar had made earlier orbits, their many gravitational interactions with planets would have randomly added or subtracted considerable energy, flattening and spreading out the red bar. Therefore, those near-parabolic comets were falling back for the first time,34 and the material from which they formed must have been launched in a burst from near the center of the solar system.
* The horizontal axis represents 1/a, a proxy for energy per unit mass. The term “a” is a comet’s semimajor axis. Each interval has a width of 10-3 (1/AU).
If a comet gains enough energy (and therefore speed), it will escape the solar system. Although the Sun’s gravity pulls on the comet as it moves away from the Sun, that pull may decrease so fast with distance that the comet escapes forever. The resulting orbit is not an ellipse (a closed orbit), but a hyperbola (an open orbit). [See Figure 171.] The precise dividing line between ellipses and hyperbolas is an orbit called a parabola. Most long-period comets travel on long, narrow ellipses that are almost parabolas. They are called near-parabolic comets. If they had slightly more velocity, they would permanently escape the solar system on hyperbolic orbits.
Separate Populations. Few comets with short periods will ever change into near-parabolic comets, because the large boost in energy needed is apt to “throw” a comet across the parabola boundary, expelling it permanently from the solar system. The energy boost would have to “snuggle” a comet up next to the parabola boundary without crossing it.25 Also, few long-period comets will become short-period comets, because comets risk getting killed with each near pass of a planet or trip around the Sun. This would be especially true if such dangerous activity went on for millions of years in the “heavy traffic” of the inner solar system.
While all planets travel near Earth’s orbital plane (the ecliptic), long-period and intermediate-period comets have orbital planes inclined at all angles. However, short-period comets usually travel near the ecliptic. Comet inclinations change only slightly with most planet encounters.26 Because few short-period comets can become long-period comets, and vice versa, most must have begun in their current category.